Most modern people live with a quiet tension!
Science explains how the universe works with extraordinary success — yet it remains silent on why meaning and morality feel so real.
Traditional religious answers can be emotionally powerful... but intellectually strained!
Pure materialism, while honest, can feel existentially thin!
BioPanentheism is an attempt to honestly fill-in that gap!
It suggests that:
- Morality comes from biology and social evolution!
- Meaning arises through lived experience!
- The universe itself may not care — but experience still matters!
You don’t need to agree with this.
You don’t even need to fully understand it yet.
What I’m interested in is something simpler!
The Question:
Does BioPanentheism feel like a meaningful way to think about morality and purpose in a universe that may not care?
Please choose the answer that fits best:
- Yes — it resonates
- Maybe — I need to think about it more
- No — it doesn’t work for me
- I don’t understand it yet
- On Substack: vote using the built-in poll tool (recommended), or comment your choice.
- On Blogger: comment with 1, 2, 3, or 4 matching the options above. (Plus any additional comments!)
Why This Question Matters!
This isn’t a test of belief... and it isn’t a vote on truth!
It’s a way of observing how an idea lands in lived experience... whether it feels coherent, useful, or simply honest to people navigating a complex world!
If BioPanentheism has value, it won’t prove itself through certainty... it will show itself through clarity, restraint, and resonance!
Thank you for taking a moment to reflect! (Even uncertainty is a valid answer!)
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B O N U S !
They have a system that turns the opinions of large groups into a predictive program based on the so-called "inner-wisdom" of those groups!
With that in mend we came up with the following question:
By January 1, 2036, will BioPanentheism be independently adopted, referenced, or substantively discussed by at least 10 credentialed thinkers, without direct prompting by its originator, in a manner that accurately reflects its core framework?
Resolution Criteria:
This question resolves YES if all of the following conditions are met:
At least 10 individuals with recognized credentials (e.g., PhD, published researcher, tenured faculty, or equivalent standing in philosophy, cognitive science, biology, theology, or adjacent disciplines)
Each produces independent engagement with BioPanentheism (e.g., articles, papers, books, lectures, podcasts, or academic commentary)
Engagements must accurately represent BioPanentheism as:
Ethics and morality arise solely from biological evolution and cognition.
An amoral experiential substrate (Omnia/Qualia) that does not intend, plan, or moralize.
Engagements must span at least three distinct domains. (e.g., philosophy + biology + theology)
Engagements must not be authored, commissioned, or directly initiated by Allan W. Janssen
The question resolves NO if any of the above conditions are not met by the resolution date.
Clarifications
This question does not test the metaphysical truth of Omnia.
This question does not test popularity or belief adoption.
This question tests whether the concept of BioPanentheism demonstrates intellectual viability, transmissibility, and persistence under informed scrutiny.
Misinterpretations (e.g., pantheism, panpsychism, moralized deity models) do not count toward a resolution.
Background
BioPanentheism is a recently articulated framework proposing that:
Experience is biologically mediated.
Morality is an evolved biological function.
The universe (via Omnia) is experientially enabling but intrinsically amoral.
Meaning arises from biological responsibility, not cosmic intention.
Historically, most new metaphysical or integrative frameworks fail to propagate beyond their originator.
However, BioPanentheism intersects multiple active discourses, including:
Meaning in an indifferent universe.
Consciousness as biologically instantiated.
Post-theistic ethical realism.
Critiques of moral outsourcing to cosmology.
This forecast evaluates whether the framework clears the unusually high bar of independent, accurate uptake!
Forecast Rationale (Submitter’s Initial Estimate)
Base-rate considerations (downward pressure):
Most new philosophical systems never gain secondary authors.
Conceptual novelty increases misinterpretation risk.
No institutional or academic sponsor.
Countervailing factors (upward pressure):
Clear separation of ethics from cosmology.
Compatibility with mainstream biology and neuroscience.
Relevance to ongoing meaning-crisis debates.
Early informal engagement by thinkers in adjacent fields.
Initial Probability Estimate:
25%
This reflects:
A conservative base-rate anchor.
Adjusted upward for cross-disciplinary relevance and ethical clarity.
Adjusted downward for structural and institutional barriers.
Moral Load Annotation (Non-Probabilistic)
Downside risk if incorrect: Minimal! (intellectual opportunity cost only)
Upside if correct: Durable reframing of moral responsibility without illusion
Failure mode: Quiet neglect rather than harmful adoption.
Why This Question Is Well-Formed for Metaculus:
Binary resolution.
Long time horizon. (appropriate for conceptual uptake)
Clear falsifiability.
Resistant to popularity bias.
Encourages disciplined uncertainty, not belief signalling.
Optional Follow-Ups (not part of resolution)
Median crowd probability over time.
Variance collapses as evidence accumulates.
Update speed after third-party endorsements or critiques.
One-Sentence Summary:
This forecast asks whether BioPanentheism survives as a coherent idea once it leaves the control of its originator and enters the evolutionary ecosystem of human thought!
***
Neutral Explainer: What Is BioPanentheism?
BioPanentheism is a contemporary philosophical framework proposing a strict functional separation between experience, biology, and ethics.
In this model:
All conscious experience occurs through biological systems shaped by evolution.
Ethics and morality arise exclusively from biological cognition and social evolution, not from the universe itself.
The universe includes an amoral experiential substrate (“Omnia/Qualia”) that makes experience possible but does not intend, plan, moralize, or direct outcomes!
BioPanentheism explicitly rejects:
Cosmic purpose or teleology.
A moralized or intentional universe.
Claims of empirical proof for metaphysical entities.
The framework is intended as a coherence model, not a truth claim: It asks whether meaning, responsibility, and ethics can be grounded biologically without appealing to cosmic intention, divine command, or universal moral facts!
This forecast does not ask whether Omnia exists!
It asks whether BioPanentheism functions as a stable, accurately transmitted explanatory framework once evaluated by independent thinkers.
One-line summary (for skimmers)
BioPanentheism treats morality as biological, the universe as amoral, and experience as real... without invoking cosmic purpose or metaphysical certainty.
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